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Analysis of price trend of iron and steel raw materials in May 9, 2018
【Time:2018-05-10 14:51】 【Traffic:
On the 9 day, the domestic iron ore spot report plate is strong and strong; the national scrap steel is stable in the weak operation; the steel billet in Tangshan is stable to 3590 yuan / ton, including tax and factory; the domestic pig iron market is strong, the transaction is still possible, the coke price is stable and the transaction is still available.
 
 
 
iron ore
 
 
The domestic iron ore spot report on 9 days is strong in the middle. The import ore section rose 0.3 US dollars last night, and now the 62% Australian flour index is US $67.25 / ton, and the lump ore premium is 0.1800. In the black department, even iron one family, in addition to the iron holding infrared, the other varieties all fell more than 1%; the futures of foreign funds are basically divided into two camps, the first of the four mines and the domestic steel factory headed short opposition, because of the iron opening internationalization soon the market heat is higher, leading to the strength of the plate surface. Relative to the strength of the disk, the real market does not have such a heat, the miners quote the enthusiasm of the high steel mills to purchase on demand, making the overall turnover is not ideal, most of the choice to watch. The upside down phenomenon between the US gold mines and the swaps disappeared, but the full price premium or the price reduction state can only indicate that the price of the forward market is high and the resources are abundant.
 
In terms of port stock, this week stock still declined from last Friday, mainly due to the decline in port to port volume and increase in the port of Shandong. . In the aspect of internal mining, the medium and long term planning of air pollution control in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei has been officially unveiled, resulting in the steel enterprises' capacity being suppressed, and the procurement of interior powder is more cautious. But at present, the market is very tense because of the resources, the merchant has a strong price mood, some steel enterprises also have up to rise, so it is expected that the short-term home-made mine market will run steadily.
 
Steel scrap
 
The 9 day of the national waste steel stable weak operation. After the early expansion of steel mills, the speed of delivery of scrap steel merchants has accelerated, and the volume of steel mills has increased rapidly recently. And just when the price of steel fell, the market began to panic, throwing the mentality, hidden danger for the later trend.
 
In the specific area, the North China Tangshan region fell more and less, the fall of the material type concentrated in shear material, the main reason for the high price after the day before the harvest was raised, and the current decline in the trend; other steel enterprises, the rise and fall, according to their own goods, the normal adjustment. Handan and Wuan areas in Southern Hebei Province have obvious phenomenon of car clamping, and the risk of short-term downfall is greater. East China's fall is mainly concentrated in Shandong and Fujian. Today, there are 30-40 yuan decline in silicon steel sheets, light materials and other small factories. The Fujian steel plant has fallen about 60-100 yuan in recent days, basically falling back to the price before the price rise. Southern China area is affected by the outside - circumference trend, local steel enterprises to increase goods, part of the pressure car phenomenon, individual desire to take the advantage of the price of goods, the weathervane Zhongshan, Foshan blanking market weak operation, a few high prices down 20-30 yuan, but the mainstream of 2000-2050 yuan / ton.
 
Overall, the regional downtrend has become, market panic or will speed up the steel factory to beat the price rhythm, hope businessmen grasp the rhythm of operation to avoid risks.
 
Billet
 
9, Tangshan billet stabilized to 3590 yuan / ton, including tax. At present, the direct turnover of steel mills is weak. Tangshan and its surrounding parts of the steel billet production tax 3590 yuan / ton, some resources in Qian'an reported 3590 yuan / ton, merchants naked price 3270 yuan / ton. Most of the surrounding cities have a small price drop. Market high price transaction is not smooth, some businesses reduce arbitrage shipment. Sino US trade frictions are uncertain factors, and there are still downside risks on the macro level, resulting in pressure on the snail.
 
The relationship between snail and stock in the near future can be divided into two categories:
 
First, the futures fell much, and the spot dropped much.
 
Two, the snail rising spot is stable, but most of the time of the snail in the micro - rise period of time and soon, that is to say that the short term snail boom has slowed down on behalf of the short-term fluctuations, at any time may fall.
 
From the Japanese line, the early stage of the snail rise has a gap, and today's fall has made up this gap, so to continue the deep fall will be a short-term outbreak of immediate great interest, but at the moment it is a long term. After the opening of the iron ore futures, the cost of supporting the thread is stronger. On the local spot, the main body followed the change of the snail, but the spot turnover was less than 20-40 yuan, 3620 yuan per ton of billet, 30 yuan down from yesterday, and it is expected to have a small fall space today.
 
pig iron
 
On the 9 day, the domestic pig iron market became stronger and stronger. In Liaoning, the iron and steel demand is good, the iron factory is not in stock, the merchant is reluctant to sell, and the iron price is up. Inner Mongolia area is rare in the iron production plant, and the trading atmosphere is general. At present, the MTR factories are low in stock, and the supply of goods is tight in many areas. The business mentality is good, and the short term pig iron market will continue to improve.
 
coke
 
The price of coke on 9 days is steady, and the transaction is still available. The first grade metallurgical coke rose 50 yuan to the factory, 1860-1880 yuan per ton, the first grade metallurgical coke rose 50 yuan to the factory 1920 yuan / ton, and the quasi first grade metallurgical coke rose 50 yuan to the factory 1800-1810 yuan / ton; the quasi first grade metallurgical coke rose 50 yuan to the factory 2105 yuan / ton; the laiang steel Yongfeng quasi first grade metallurgical coke rose 50 yuan to 1830 yuan / ton of the factory. With the increase of coke enterprises, lower downstream procurement enthusiasm, coke enterprises inventory reduction, coupled with environmental protection, supply reduction, Hebei, Shandong steel mills have received price increases, business mentality is good, short-term coke strong operation.
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